12 March 2018
11am: The strongest winds and heaviest rain associated with Cyclone Hola are expected to remain offshore but wind warnings remain in place for Rotorua and Bay of Plenty.
MetService says periods of heavy rain and gales for the northern North Island today [Monday] should easy early Tuesday morning with Hola forecast to pass to the northeast of the North Island later today and overnight before moving away to the east early tomorrow morning. Heavy rain warnings are in place for: Northland, Great Barrier Island, Coromandel Peninsula and Gisborne.
Gale southeasterlies are expected to affect northern areas today turning southwesterly this evening and easing overnight or Tuesday morning. Wind warnings are in place for: Rotorua, Bay of Plenty, Northland, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsular, Great Barrier Island and Gisborne.
Click on the image below to view detail:
8am: A severe weather warning remains in place for Rotorua and Bay of Plenty this morning with potentially damaging winds expected from about 5pm today [Monday].
Strong wind gusts could damage trees, powerlines and unsecured structures and driving may be hazardous, especially for high-sided vehicles and motorcycles.
Currently north of Cape Reinga, Cyclone Hola is expected to track southeastwards to lie east of Cape Reinga about midday today, then track further to lie just east of Gisborne overnight and move away from NZ tomorrow [Tuesday]. On this track, heavy rain and severe gales are forecast for the north and east of the North Island with heaviest rain in Northland, Great Barrier Island, Coromandel and Gisborne and strongest winds in Northland, Auckland, Coromandel, Bay of Plenty and Gisborne.
Bay Of Plenty, Rotorua (valid 13 hours from 5pm Monday to 6am Tuesday)
Forecast: Gale southeasterlies developing late Monday afternoon, turning gale southwesterly overnight, gales gusting 120-130 km/h posed places. Winds easing around dawn Tuesday.
Click on the image below to view detail:
11 March 2018
10pm: MetService says that at 7pm this evening (Sunday), Tropical Cyclone Hola was reclassified as an extra-tropical low. It is expected to track southeast close to the upper North Island tomorrow (Monday).
It is important to note that reclassification does NOT mean the cyclone has weakened. In this case, Cyclone Hola still has considerable potential for severe weather despite being reclassified.
See the latest warnings and watches at http://bit.ly/AllWarnings
This reclassification reflects that the structure of the low has changed, with the most severe weather no longer concentrated about the low centre. In this case, severe weather is expected to affect much of the upper North Island on Monday, even though the low centre is expected to track over the water just to the northeast of the North Island.
More information about extra-tropical transition can be found in this blog post https://blog.metservice.com/TC-extra-tropical-transition.
Keep up to date with the forecast for your area at http://bit.ly/metservicenz
2pm: MetService is predicting gale force winds for Rotorua from tomorrow (Monday) morning as it continues to track the progress of Tropical Cyclone Hola.
Current predictions for Rotorua and Bay of Plenty:
Valid: 14 hours from 10am to midnight Monday
Forecast: Gale southeasterlies developing Monday morning, then turning gale southwesterlies late Monday afternoon or early evening, with severe gales gusting 120 to 130 km/h in exposed places. Winds easing overnight Monday.
See more information regarding severe weather warnings at THIS LINK on the MetService website.
What you can do today:
- Store outdoor furniture inside or stack it up in a sheltered corner;
- Secure your trampoline;
- Do a quick check of your property and pick up any objects that could be picked up by the wind.
"New Zealand has enjoyed a settled and generally sunny weekend, which is quite literally the 'calm before the storm'," said MetService Meteorologist April Clark says.
Tropical Cyclone Hola was a Category 2 system at 7am this morning, and was located approximately 10 degrees of latitude north of Cape Reinga. During today, the system is expected to track south and eventually be reclassified as Cyclone Hola (rather that Tropical Cyclone Hola). This reclassification reflects that the structure of the low will change, with the most severe weather no longer concentrated about the low centre.
"However, don't be fooled by the reclassification, as impacts for some regions of the country are forecast to be significant" Clark warned.
Current models are predicting Cyclone Hola to swiftly skirt the northeast of the North Island during Monday, bringing Severe Weather to eastern parts of the upper North Island. Severe Weather Watches and Warnings have now been issued for Monday, with rain accumulations of as much as 150mm and wind gusts of up to 130km/h forecast for eastern regions from Northland to northern Hawkes Bay.
Heavy rain could cause temporary flooding, and rivers to rise rapidly,while strong winds have the potential to cause damage to powerlines and unsecured items. Heavy swell is also expected over the eastern coastline from Northland through to Gisborne on Monday. Strong onshore winds will also add to the wave heights for Coromandel Peninsula and Gisborne.
"This system is compact but fast moving, meaning that those expected to be impacted should expect weather conditions to change rapidly, so keeping updated with the forecast, Civil Defence and New Zealand Transport Agency is key," Clark explained.
10 March 2018
There is still uncertainty about how Tropical Cyclone Hola will track and what effect it will have on New Zealand but this weekend is a good time to check you are prepared in case there is a severe local impact.
Based on current tracking there is forecast to be a high risk of heavy rain and severe gales in the Bay of Plenty from early Monday through to Tuesday.
Rotorua Civil Defence staff remain on standby and continue to monitor the situation and our Primary Civil Defence Emergency Controller Stavros Michael is encouraging locals to take the time this weekend to make some basic checks around the home.
“Council continuously monitors developing weather patterns. These have changed in the past year as Rotorua has experienced more severe events such as thunderstorms and heavy rain,” he says.
When severe weather is expected for the district, council staff remain on standby and activate preparedness measures including monitoring inflows to the Wastewater Treatment Plant and notifying contractors about the approaching weather.
“At present we are keeping a watchful eye on the progression and movements of Hola,” Mr Michael says.
“Like any severe weather event which may possibly descend on Rotorua, we encourage residents to prepare just in case.”
- If it’s not essential travel, avoid driving;
- Ensure drains and spouting around your home are clear before the weather hits;
- Keep an eye on Council’s website and Facebook page, and the MetService and NZ Transport Agency websites for weather forecasting and road conditions and closures;
- Call Council on 348 4199 if you need assistance and to report flooding, slips or fallen trees;
- Before the weather hits check your emergency supplies to ensure you have fresh water, food and medication, as well as resources in case there is a power outage.
Are you and your whanau/family prepared?
What can I do to be prepared?
- Check gutters and drains on and outside your property and remove any blockages to avoid flooding around the house;
- Store away outdoor furniture and play equipment or stack it where it can’t blow around or cause any harm.
- If your garage is vulnerable to flooding move items off the floor if possible and consider getting some sandbags – these can be purchased at garden centres and gardening supply centres;
- Ensure you have a torch or candles handy in case of power cuts;
- Have you got a battery operated radio to listen for alerts and updates in case of power cuts?
- Check you have spare batteries;
- Check your ‘survival kit’ is up to date or if you don’t have one see THIS LINK on Council’s website to guide you in getting one together;
- Check you have some fresh water available in case water supplies are affected;
- Stay away from the water’s edge. Levels can rise faster than expected and the ground can become unstable
- Sandbags can be purchased from local garden and landscape supplies;
- Keep an eye on vulnerable neighbours.
Where to get information
- Go to the Civil Defence preparedness link on Council’s website to find out how to ensure you and your whanau/family are prepared and know what to do in case of a disaster.
- For welfare or other assistance call Council on 07-348 4199
- To report flooding, fallen trees, debris or slips call Council on 07-348 4199 any time.
- For power outage information call Unison on 0800 286 476 or visit www.unsion.co.nz/outages
Updates will be posted online at http://www.rotorualakescouncil.nz/ and on the Council’s Facebook page.